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Important information: The value of investments can go down as well as up so you may get back less than you invest. Investors should note that the views expressed may no longer be current and may have already been acted upon. This is a third-party news feed and may not reflect Fidelity’s views.

Shore Capital rates NatWest a 'buy', but upside limited

(Sharecast News) - Shore Capital has reiterated its 'buy' rating on UK banking group NatWest after a forecast-beating first quarter, but said it sees the least amount of upside potential in the stock compared with the wider banking sector. NatWest reported a pre-tax profit of £1.33bn for the first three months of the year, down 27% year-on-year but £68m ahead of consensus forecasts, representing a beat of 5%. This was due to positive changes in net interest income, impairments, and litigation and conduct charges.

Reported earnings per share of 10.5p beat consensus by 9%, tangible net asset value per share of 302p beat consensus by 9p, while reported return on tangible equity of 14.2% beat consensus by 1.3 percentage points.

However, the fact that NatWest's board has chosen to keep full-year guidance unchanged "may disappoint investors following a recent strong run in the shares", said Shore Capital analyst Gary Greenwood.

He pointed out that the stock has surged 32% so far this year - as of Thursday's closing price of 290p - outperforming the FTSE All-Share Index by 28%

Shore Capital's fair-value estimate for the shares is 315p, which implies just 9% upside from Thursday's price - though Friday morning's 3.4% gain to 299.7p reduces that somewhat.

"NatWest currently offers the least upside to fair value of the large UK banks. We retain a 'buy' recommendation for now, but we will review the appropriateness of this in light of any share price reaction and further commentary on the results call," Greenwood said.

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Important information: This information is not a personal recommendation for any particular investment. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment you should speak to one of Fidelity’s advisers or an authorised financial adviser of your choice. When you are thinking about investing in shares, it’s generally a good idea to consider holding them alongside other investments in a diversified portfolio of assets. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns.

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